In a new report by the CIES (International Centre for Sports Studies) Football Observatory, Liverpool is predicted to have the highest probability of winning the upcoming Premier League title.
The Reds, who were crowned champions in the 2024-25 season under new manager Arne Slot, are given a 28.9% chance of lifting the trophy again.
According to the statistical model, which factors in sporting, economic, and demographic variables, Liverpool is followed by Arsenal with an 18.8% chance and Chelsea at 16.2%.
Despite being 10-time champions, Manchester City is ranked fourth with a 14.4% probability.
Manchester United, who haven’t won the league since the 2012-13 season, have a 2.6% chance.
