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Will Africa Finally Win the World Cup?

Victor Immanuel Oloo by Victor Immanuel Oloo
June 10, 2026
in Football
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Spanish Football Federation Scandal Casts Shadow Over World Cup Hosting Prospects

Pelé said it would happen by the year 2000. It did not. He said it again. It still has not happened. Nearly a century of World Cup football, and the second-largest continent on earth; a continent that breathes football from Lagos to Luanda, from Dakar to Dar es Salaam; has never produced a champion.

But with ten African nations at the 2026 World Cup, the largest contingent the continent has ever sent to a single tournament, the question is no longer whispered. It is being asked loudly, honestly, and with genuine expectation. This time, can Africa actually do it?

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To understand where Africa is going, you have to understand how far it has already come. For decades, the continent was barely represented at the World Cup at all.

Egypt made isolated appearances in the 1930s while most of the continent was still under colonial rule. Africa boycotted the 1966 tournament in England entirely after FIFA refused to give the continent a direct qualifying berth. For the 1970, 1974, and 1978 editions, only one African team competed while Europe sent at least nine. The fight to be taken seriously has been long and grinding.

Progress came in stages. Cameroon’s Roger Milla danced around corner flags in 1990 as the Indomitable Lions became the first African side to reach the quarter-finals, beating Argentina along the way before losing narrowly to England.

Senegal stunned reigning champions France in 2002 and reached the last eight. Ghana went further still in 2010, one Asamoah Gyan penalty crossbar away from becoming the first African semi-finalist, a moment that still hurts every time someone mentions Luis Suárez’s name.

Then came Morocco in 2022. What Walid Regragui’s side achieved in Qatar was not just a milestone. It was a recalibration. They beat Belgium. They beat Spain on penalties. They beat Portugal. Youssef En-Nesyri outjumped the world to head home the goal that eliminated Cristiano Ronaldo’s World Cup dream.

When the final whistle blew against Portugal, streets erupted not just in Casablanca and Rabat but across the entire continent. Morocco fell to France in the semi-finals, losing 2-0 in a match they competed in hard before conceding late. They finished fourth. No African team had ever finished higher.

Morocco did not achieve that semi-final run by accident or luck. They built it deliberately over fifteen years. King Mohammed VI’s investment in football infrastructure, a world-class academy, a $65 million training complex, created the foundation.

Consistent coaching philosophy across age groups produced technically refined players who understood a system. And crucially, Morocco recruited aggressively from their diaspora, convincing players born in Europe; Achraf Hakimi in Spain, Yassine Bounou in Canada, Brahim Díaz in Spain, to commit to the Atlas Lions. The result was a squad that combined European club experience with genuine Moroccan identity and togetherness.

As former Nigeria captain William Troost-Ekong has noted, the blueprint is clear: structure, investment, planning, and consistency across youth levels. It is not a formula that produces results overnight. But it produces results. The question for 2026 is which other African nation has followed it closely enough.

Africa arrives at the 2026 World Cup with ten teams and legitimate reasons to believe in each of them. The format helps too. With two-thirds of the 48 teams advancing from the group stage, escaping the opening rounds is now more achievable than ever.

Morocco are the continent’s highest-ranked side and the clearest carry-over from 2022. Under new coach Mohamed Ouahbi, who guided the Atlas Lions’ U-20 team to a world title in 2025, they face the most brutal group opener of any African nation, Brazil on June 13.

Achraf Hakimi, their captain and heartbeat, is racing to be fit after a late injury. If he plays, Morocco have the spine and the belief to go very deep again.

Senegal arrive with fire in their belly. The Lions of Teranga were stripped of the AFCON title earlier this year after a controversial walkoff incident in the final against Morocco, a wound that has not healed and has hardened their resolve.

Sadio Mané leads a squad of genuine depth and they face France in their group opener, a rematch of the 2002 shock that started Africa’s greatest World Cup story. If Senegal can get out of Group I, they have the squad to reach the final eight.

Egypt have Mo Salah. At 34, the former Liverpool captain knows this is his last meaningful chance at a World Cup legacy. Alongside him is Omar Marmoush of Manchester City, giving Egypt their most potent attacking pair in a generation. Their group, Belgium, Iran, New Zealand, is the most winnable of any African nation and if Egypt advance, a fired-up Salah in knockout football is a different beast entirely.

Ghana face England and Croatia in Group L, which is hard. But Thomas Partey anchors a midfield that knows how to frustrate better teams, and the squad under Portuguese veteran Carlos Queiroz has quality in attack with Iñaki Williams and Antoine Semenyo. The Black Stars are overdue a deep run.

Côte d’Ivoire, Algeria, Tunisia, South Africa, DR Congo, and Cape Verde complete the picture. Each carries its own story.

There is a reason the dream has not been realised yet, and honesty demands it be stated plainly.

African teams have historically struggled with consistency across a full tournament. The margins in knockout football are brutal. One injury to a key player, one penalty missed, one lapse in concentration in extra time and the dream is gone.

Gyan’s penalty against Uruguay in 2010 is the most famous example, but the tournament is littered with near-misses that turned on razor-thin moments.

The structural gap between the wealthiest European leagues and the rest of the world still exists, even as it narrows. African players are everywhere in those leagues now; in Manchester, Madrid, Munich, and Milan; but the national team infrastructures have not always matched the quality of the individuals.

Coaching changes on the eve of tournaments, federation politics interfering in squad selection, and inadequate preparation camps have undermined campaigns that looked promising on paper.

Luck matters too. As former Ghana midfielder Michael Essien has said plainly: the quality is there, the belief is growing, what has often been missing is the fortune that every champion needs. France had it in 2018. Argentina had it in 2022. Somebody always does.

So, can it happen this year?

Honestly? Morocco and Senegal are the continent’s strongest candidates. Morocco have the system, the squad, the continental pride, and the psychological confidence of knowing they have already beaten Spain, Belgium, and Portugal at a World Cup.

Senegal have the squad depth, the hunger, and a genuinely open pathway through their group if they beat France, which, as 2002 proved, is far from impossible.

For either of them to win the tournament, they would need to beat the best Europe and South America have to offer across six or seven consecutive knockout matches. That remains an enormous ask.

Spain, France, England, Argentina, and Brazil are all better resourced, more experienced in the final rounds, and backed by domestic leagues of unmatched depth and funding.

But football has never cared much for spreadsheets. Morocco proved that in 2022. A team that believes in itself completely, that defends as a unit, that has a clear tactical identity and a spirit that opponents find suffocating, that team can beat anyone on any given night. All of Africa has been building toward this for decades.

The wait has been long enough. And in the summer of 2026, with ten nations on the biggest stage the sport has ever staged, the continent steps forward not as a participant in someone else’s tournament but as a legitimate contender for the ultimate prize.

Tags: FIFA WORLD CUP
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